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CUSTOMER LIFETIME VALUE

Customer lifetime value for a firm is the net profit or loss to the firm from a customer over the entire life of transactions of that customer with the firm.

Project Steps

  1. Calculation of the expected number of selling number in a specific time period by using BG/NBD.
  2. Calculation of the expected average profit with Gamma Gamma modeling.
  3. By combining them we get the CLTV.

How to Calculate Customer Lifetime Value?

  • CLTV = (Customer_Value / Churn_Rate) x Profit_margin
  • Customer_Value = Average_Order_Value * Purchase_Frequency
  • Average_Order_Value = Total_Revenue / Total_Number_of_Orders
  • Purchase_Frequency = Total_Number_of_Orders / Total_Number_of_Customers
  • Churn_Rate = 1 - Repeat_Rate
  • Profit_margin

Dataset Information

This Online Retail II data set contains all the transactions occurring for a UK-based and registered, non-store online retail between 01/12/2009 and 09/12/2011. The company mainly sells unique all-occasion gift-ware. Many customers of the company are wholesalers.

https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/Online+Retail+II#

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CLTV Prediction with BGNBD and Gamma Gamma models.

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