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MIT License | ||
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Copyright (c) 2021 EcoGRAPH: Ecological Geospatial Research and Applications in Planetary Health | ||
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Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy | ||
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal | ||
in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights | ||
to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell | ||
copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is | ||
furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: | ||
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The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all | ||
copies or substantial portions of the Software. | ||
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THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR | ||
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, | ||
FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE | ||
AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER | ||
LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, | ||
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE | ||
SOFTWARE. |
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Project contains a code accompaniment to the article in BMC Public Health: "Comparing Malaria Early Detection Methods in a Declining Transmission Setting in Northwestern Ethiopia" by Nekorchuk et al. (2021). | ||
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The project contains functions to perform the following two analyses which were presented in the paper: | ||
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1) Our novel Trend Weighted Seasonal Thresholds (TWST) approach which was designed to identify malaria events retrospectively in the context of seasonal patterns and decreasing long-term trends in disease transmission, while allowing for variation in patterns across geographical districts as well as slight time-shifts in seasonal peaks between years. | ||
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2) Event Detection Comparison: Comparing various Early Detection algorithms used in the paper: Random alarms (naive model), weekly statistics-based thresholds (e.g. WHO, Cullen), CDC EARS, and Farrington algorithms. | ||
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This project also contains demo run scripts for TWST, 'run_twst_demo.R', and event detection comparison, 'run_ed_compare_demo.R', with synthetic data for demonstration purposes ONLY. | ||
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This work is part of a larger project, Epidemic Prognosis Incorporating Disease and Environmental Monitoring for Integrated Assessment (EPIDEMIA). The EPIDEMIA Forecasting System integrate surveillance and environmental data to model and create short-term forecasts for environmentally-mediated diseases. | ||
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For more information, please see the demo project based on malaria in Ethiopia (with demo data): https://github.com/EcoGRAPH/epidemiar-demo | ||
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EPIDEMIA project: http://ecograph.net/epidemia/ | ||
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