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estimators_multi.py
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estimators_multi.py
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# Copyright (c) Yuta Saito, Yusuke Narita, and ZOZO Technologies, Inc. All rights reserved.
# Licensed under the Apache 2.0 License.
"""Off-Policy Estimators."""
from abc import ABCMeta
from abc import abstractmethod
from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import Dict
from typing import Optional
import numpy as np
from sklearn.utils import check_scalar
from ..utils import check_array
from ..utils import check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs
from ..utils import estimate_confidence_interval_by_bootstrap
@dataclass
class BaseMultiLoggersOffPolicyEstimator(metaclass=ABCMeta):
"""Base class for OPE estimators for multiple loggers."""
@abstractmethod
def _estimate_round_rewards(self) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate round-wise (or sample-wise) rewards."""
raise NotImplementedError
@abstractmethod
def estimate_policy_value(self) -> float:
"""Estimate the policy value of evaluation policy."""
raise NotImplementedError
@abstractmethod
def estimate_interval(self) -> Dict[str, float]:
"""Estimate the confidence interval of the policy value using bootstrap."""
raise NotImplementedError
@dataclass
class MultiLoggersNaiveInverseProbabilityWeighting(BaseMultiLoggersOffPolicyEstimator):
"""Multi-Loggers Inverse Probability Weighting (Multi-IPW) Estimator.
Note
-------
This estimator is called Naive IPS in Agarwal et al.(2018) and Averaged IS in Kallus et al.(2021).
Multi-IPW estimates the policy value of evaluation policy :math:`\\pi_e`
using logged data collected by multiple logging/behavior policies as
.. math::
\\hat{V}_{\\mathrm{Multi-IPW}} (\\pi_e; \\mathcal{D}) := \\mathbb{E}_{n} [ w_{k_i}(x_i,a_i) r_i],
where :math:`\\mathcal{D}_k=\\{(x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n_k}` is logged bandit data with :math:`n_k` observations collected by
the k-th behavior policy :math:`\\pi_k`. :math:`w_k(x,a):=\\pi_e (a|x)/\\pi_k (a|x)` is the importance weight given :math:`x` and :math:`a` computed for the k-th behavior policy.
We can represent the whole logged bandit data as :math:`\\mathcal{D}=\\{(k_i,x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n}` where :math:`k_i` is the index to indicate the logging/behavior policy that generates i-th data, i.e., :math:`\\pi_{k_i}`.
Note that :math:`n := \\sum_{k=1}^K` is the total number of logged bandit data.
:math:`\\mathbb{E}_{n}[\\cdot]` is the empirical average over :math:`n` observations in :math:`\\mathcal{D}`.
When the clipping is applied, a large importance weight is clipped as :math:`\\hat{w}_k(x,a) := \\min \\{ \\lambda, w_k(x,a) \\}`, where :math:`\\lambda (>0)` is a hyperparameter to specify a maximum allowed importance weight.
Multi-IPW applies the standard IPW to each stratum and takes the weighted average of the K datasets.
Parameters
------------
lambda_: float, default=np.inf
A maximum possible value of the importance weight.
When a positive finite value is given, importance weights larger than `lambda_` will be clipped.
use_estimated_pscore: bool, default=False.
If True, `estimated_pscore` is used, otherwise, `pscore` (the true propensity scores) is used.
estimator_name: str, default='multi_ipw'.
Name of the estimator.
References
------------
Aman Agarwal, Soumya Basu, Tobias Schnabel, and Thorsten Joachims.
"Effective Evaluation using Logged Bandit Feedback from Multiple Loggers.", 2018.
Nathan Kallus, Yuta Saito, and Masatoshi Uehara.
"Optimal Off-Policy Evaluation from Multiple Logging Policies.", 2021.
"""
lambda_: float = np.inf
use_estimated_pscore: bool = False
estimator_name: str = "multi_ipw"
def __post_init__(self) -> None:
"""Initialize Class."""
check_scalar(
self.lambda_,
name="lambda_",
target_type=(int, float),
min_val=0.0,
)
if self.lambda_ != self.lambda_:
raise ValueError("`lambda_` must not be nan")
if not isinstance(self.use_estimated_pscore, bool):
raise TypeError(
f"`use_estimated_pscore` must be a bool, but {type(self.use_estimated_pscore)} is given"
)
def _estimate_round_rewards(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
pscore: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate round-wise (or sample-wise) rewards.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
Returns
----------
estimated_rewards: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Estimated rewards for each observation.
"""
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
iw = action_dist[np.arange(action.shape[0]), action, position] / pscore
# weight clipping
if isinstance(iw, np.ndarray):
iw = np.minimum(iw, self.lambda_)
return reward * iw
def estimate_policy_value(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
estimated_pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate the policy value of evaluation policy.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
estimated_pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Estimated behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\hat{\\pi}_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `self.use_estimated_pscore` is True, `estimated_pscore` must be given.
Returns
----------
V_hat: float
Estimated policy value of evaluation policy.
"""
check_array(array=reward, name="reward", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=action, name="action", expected_dim=1)
if self.use_estimated_pscore:
check_array(array=estimated_pscore, name="estimated_pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = estimated_pscore
else:
check_array(array=pscore, name="pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = pscore
check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs(
action_dist=action_dist,
position=position,
action=action,
reward=reward,
pscore=pscore_,
)
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
return self._estimate_round_rewards(
reward=reward,
action=action,
position=position,
pscore=pscore_,
action_dist=action_dist,
).mean()
def estimate_interval(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
estimated_pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
alpha: float = 0.05,
n_bootstrap_samples: int = 10000,
random_state: Optional[int] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> Dict[str, float]:
"""Estimate the confidence interval of the policy value using bootstrap.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
estimated_pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Estimated behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\hat{\\pi}_b(a_i|x_i)`.
If `self.use_estimated_pscore` is True, `estimated_pscore` must be given.
alpha: float, default=0.05
Significance level.
n_bootstrap_samples: int, default=10000
Number of resampling performed in bootstrap sampling.
random_state: int, default=None
Controls the random seed in bootstrap sampling.
Returns
----------
estimated_confidence_interval: Dict[str, float]
Dictionary storing the estimated mean and upper-lower confidence bounds.
"""
check_array(array=reward, name="reward", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=action, name="action", expected_dim=1)
if self.use_estimated_pscore:
check_array(array=estimated_pscore, name="estimated_pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = estimated_pscore
else:
check_array(array=pscore, name="pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = pscore
check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs(
action_dist=action_dist,
position=position,
action=action,
reward=reward,
pscore=pscore_,
)
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
estimated_round_rewards = self._estimate_round_rewards(
reward=reward,
action=action,
position=position,
pscore=pscore_,
action_dist=action_dist,
)
return estimate_confidence_interval_by_bootstrap(
samples=estimated_round_rewards,
alpha=alpha,
n_bootstrap_samples=n_bootstrap_samples,
random_state=random_state,
)
@dataclass
class MultiLoggersBalancedInverseProbabilityWeighting(
BaseMultiLoggersOffPolicyEstimator
):
"""Multi-Loggers Balanced Inverse Probability Weighting (Multi-Bal-IPW) Estimator.
Note
-------
This estimator is called Balanced IPS in Agarwal et al.(2018) and Standard IS in Kallus et al.(2021).
Note that this estimator is different from `obp.ope.BalancedInverseProbabilityWeighting`, which is for the standard OPE setting.
Multi-Bal-IPW estimates the policy value of evaluation policy :math:`\\pi_e`
using logged data collected by multiple logging/behavior policies as
.. math::
\\hat{V}_{\\mathrm{Multi-Bal-IPW}} (\\pi_e; \\mathcal{D}) := \\mathbb{E}_{n} [ w_{avg}(x_i,a_i) r_i],
where :math:`\\mathcal{D}_k=\\{(x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n_k}` is logged bandit data with :math:`n_k` observations collected by
the k-th behavior policy :math:`\\pi_k`.
:math:`w_{avg}(x,a):=\\pi_e (a|x)/\\pi_{avg} (a|x)` is the importance weight given :math:`x` and :math:`a` computed for the *average* behavior policy, which is defined as :math:`\\pi_{avg}(a|x) := \\sum_{k=1}^K \\rho_k \\pi_k(a|x)`.
We can represent the whole logged bandit data as :math:`\\mathcal{D}=\\{(k_i,x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n}` where :math:`k_i` is the index to indicate the logging/behavior policy that generates i-th data, i.e., :math:`\\pi_{k_i}`.
Note that :math:`n := \\sum_{k=1}^K` is the total number of logged bandit data, and :math:`\\rho_k := n_k / n` is the dataset proportions.
:math:`\\mathbb{E}_{n}[\\cdot]` is the empirical average over :math:`n` observations in :math:`\\mathcal{D}`.
When the clipping is applied, a large importance weight is clipped as :math:`\\hat{w}_{avg}(x,a) := \\min \\{ \\lambda, w_{avg}(x,a) \\}`, where :math:`\\lambda (>0)` is a hyperparameter to specify a maximum allowed importance weight.
Multi-Bal-IPW applies the standard IPW based on the averaged logging/behavior policy :math:`\\pi_{avg}`.
Parameters
------------
lambda_: float, default=np.inf
A maximum possible value of the importance weight.
When a positive finite value is given, importance weights larger than `lambda_` will be clipped.
use_estimated_pscore: bool, default=False.
If True, `estimated_pscore` is used, otherwise, `pscore` (the true propensity scores) is used.
estimator_name: str, default='multi_bal_ipw'.
Name of the estimator.
References
------------
Aman Agarwal, Soumya Basu, Tobias Schnabel, and Thorsten Joachims.
"Effective Evaluation using Logged Bandit Feedback from Multiple Loggers.", 2018.
Nathan Kallus, Yuta Saito, and Masatoshi Uehara.
"Optimal Off-Policy Evaluation from Multiple Logging Policies.", 2021.
"""
lambda_: float = np.inf
use_estimated_pscore: bool = False
estimator_name: str = "multi_bal_ipw"
def __post_init__(self) -> None:
"""Initialize Class."""
check_scalar(
self.lambda_,
name="lambda_",
target_type=(int, float),
min_val=0.0,
)
if self.lambda_ != self.lambda_:
raise ValueError("`lambda_` must not be nan")
if not isinstance(self.use_estimated_pscore, bool):
raise TypeError(
f"`use_estimated_pscore` must be a bool, but {type(self.use_estimated_pscore)} is given"
)
def _estimate_round_rewards(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
pscore_avg: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate round-wise (or sample-wise) rewards.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
pscore_avg: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Action choice probabilities of the average logging/behavior policy, i.e., :math:`\\pi_{avg}(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore_avg` must be given.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
Returns
----------
estimated_rewards: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Estimated rewards for each observation.
"""
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
iw_avg = action_dist[np.arange(action.shape[0]), action, position] / pscore_avg
# weight clipping
if isinstance(iw_avg, np.ndarray):
iw_avg = np.minimum(iw_avg, self.lambda_)
return reward * iw_avg
def estimate_policy_value(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
pscore_avg: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
estimated_pscore_avg: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate the policy value of evaluation policy.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
pscore_avg: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_{avg}(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore_avg` must be given.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
estimated_pscore_avg: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Estimated average logging/behavior policy, i.e., :math:`\\hat{\\pi}_{avg}(a_i|x_i)`.
If `self.use_estimated_pscore` is True, `estimated_pscore` must be given.
Returns
----------
V_hat: float
Estimated policy value of evaluation policy.
"""
check_array(array=reward, name="reward", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=action, name="action", expected_dim=1)
if self.use_estimated_pscore:
check_array(
array=estimated_pscore_avg, name="estimated_pscore_avg", expected_dim=1
)
pscore_ = estimated_pscore_avg
else:
check_array(array=pscore_avg, name="pscore_avg", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = pscore_avg
check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs(
action_dist=action_dist,
position=position,
action=action,
reward=reward,
pscore=pscore_,
)
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
return self._estimate_round_rewards(
reward=reward,
action=action,
position=position,
pscore_avg=pscore_,
action_dist=action_dist,
).mean()
def estimate_interval(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
pscore_avg: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
estimated_pscore_avg: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
alpha: float = 0.05,
n_bootstrap_samples: int = 10000,
random_state: Optional[int] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> Dict[str, float]:
"""Estimate the confidence interval of the policy value using bootstrap.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
pscore_avg: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Action choice probabilities of the average logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_{avg}(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore_avg` must be given.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
estimated_pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Estimated logging/behavior policy, i.e., :math:`\\hat{\\pi}_b(a_i|x_i)`.
If `self.use_estimated_pscore` is True, `estimated_pscore` must be given.
alpha: float, default=0.05
Significance level.
n_bootstrap_samples: int, default=10000
Number of resampling performed in bootstrap sampling.
random_state: int, default=None
Controls the random seed in bootstrap sampling.
Returns
----------
estimated_confidence_interval: Dict[str, float]
Dictionary storing the estimated mean and upper-lower confidence bounds.
"""
check_array(array=reward, name="reward", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=action, name="action", expected_dim=1)
if self.use_estimated_pscore:
check_array(
array=estimated_pscore_avg, name="estimated_pscore_avg", expected_dim=1
)
pscore_ = estimated_pscore_avg
else:
check_array(array=pscore_avg, name="pscore_avg", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = pscore_avg
check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs(
action_dist=action_dist,
position=position,
action=action,
reward=reward,
pscore=pscore_,
)
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
estimated_round_rewards = self._estimate_round_rewards(
reward=reward,
action=action,
position=position,
pscore=pscore_,
action_dist=action_dist,
)
return estimate_confidence_interval_by_bootstrap(
samples=estimated_round_rewards,
alpha=alpha,
n_bootstrap_samples=n_bootstrap_samples,
random_state=random_state,
)
@dataclass
class MultiLoggersWeightedInverseProbabilityWeighting(
MultiLoggersNaiveInverseProbabilityWeighting
):
"""Multi-Loggers Weighted Inverse Probability Weighting (Multi-Weighted-IPW) Estimator.
Note
-------
This estimator is called Weighted IPS in Agarwal et al.(2018) and Precision Weighted IS in Kallus et al.(2021).
Multi-Weighted-IPW estimates the policy value of evaluation policy :math:`\\pi_e`
using logged data collected by multiple logging/behavior policies as
.. math::
\\hat{V}_{\\mathrm{Multi-Weighted-IPW}} (\\pi_e; \\mathcal{D})
:= \\sum_{k=1}^K \\M^*_k \\mathbb{E}_{n_k} [ w_k(x_i,a_i) r_i],
where :math:`\\mathcal{D}_k=\\{(x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n_k}` is logged bandit data with :math:`n_k` observations collected by
the k-th behavior policy :math:`\\pi_k`. :math:`w_k(x,a):=\\pi_e (a|x)/\\pi_k (a|x)` is the importance weight given :math:`x` and :math:`a` computed for the k-th behavior policy.
We can represent the whole logged bandit data as :math:`\\mathcal{D}=\\{(k_i,x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n}` where :math:`k_i` is the index to indicate the logging/behavior policy that generates i-th data, i.e., :math:`\\pi_{k_i}`.
Note that :math:`n := \\sum_{k=1}^K` is the total number of logged bandit data, and :math:`\\rho_k := n_k / n` is the dataset proportions.
:math:`\\mathbb{E}_{n}[\\cdot]` is the empirical average over :math:`n` observations in :math:`\\mathcal{D}`.
When the clipping is applied, a large importance weight is clipped as :math:`\\hat{w}_k(x,a) := \\min \\{ \\lambda, w_k(x,a) \\}`, where :math:`\\lambda (>0)` is a hyperparameter to specify a maximum allowed importance weight.
Multi-Weighted-IPW prioritizes the strata generated by the logging/behavior policies similar to the evaluation policy.
The weight for the k-th logging/behavior policy :math:`\\M^*_k` is defined based on
the divergence between the evaluation policy :math:`\\pi_e` and :math:`\\pi_k`.
Parameters
------------
lambda_: float, default=np.inf
A maximum possible value of the importance weight.
When a positive finite value is given, importance weights larger than `lambda_` will be clipped.
use_estimated_pscore: bool, default=False.
If True, `estimated_pscore` is used, otherwise, `pscore` (the true propensity scores) is used.
estimator_name: str, default='multi_weighted_ipw'.
Name of the estimator.
References
------------
Aman Agarwal, Soumya Basu, Tobias Schnabel, and Thorsten Joachims.
"Effective Evaluation using Logged Bandit Feedback from Multiple Loggers.", 2018.
Nathan Kallus, Yuta Saito, and Masatoshi Uehara.
"Optimal Off-Policy Evaluation from Multiple Logging Policies.", 2021.
"""
estimator_name: str = "multi_weighted_ipw"
def _estimate_round_rewards(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
pscore: np.ndarray,
stratum_idx: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate round-wise (or sample-wise) rewards.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
stratum_idx: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Indices to differentiate the logging/behavior policy that generate each data, i.e., :math:`k`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
Returns
----------
estimated_rewards: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Estimated rewards for each observation.
"""
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
n = action.shape[0]
iw = action_dist[np.arange(n), action, position] / pscore
# weight clipping
if isinstance(iw, np.ndarray):
iw = np.minimum(iw, self.lambda_)
unique_stratum_idx, n_data_strata = np.unique(stratum_idx, return_counts=True)
var_k = np.zeros(unique_stratum_idx.shape[0])
for k in unique_stratum_idx:
idx_ = stratum_idx == k
var_k[k] = np.var(reward[idx_] * iw[idx_])
weight_k = n / (var_k * np.sum(n_data_strata / var_k))
return reward * iw * weight_k[stratum_idx]
def estimate_policy_value(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
stratum_idx: np.ndarray,
pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
estimated_pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate the policy value of evaluation policy.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
stratum_idx: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Indices to differentiate the logging/behavior policy that generate each data, i.e., :math:`k`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
estimated_pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Estimated behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\hat{\\pi}_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `self.use_estimated_pscore` is True, `estimated_pscore` must be given.
Returns
----------
V_hat: float
Estimated policy value of evaluation policy.
"""
check_array(array=reward, name="reward", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=action, name="action", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=stratum_idx, name="stratum_idx", expected_dim=1)
if self.use_estimated_pscore:
check_array(array=estimated_pscore, name="estimated_pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = estimated_pscore
else:
check_array(array=pscore, name="pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = pscore
check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs(
action_dist=action_dist,
position=position,
action=action,
reward=reward,
stratum_idx=stratum_idx,
pscore=pscore_,
)
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
return self._estimate_round_rewards(
reward=reward,
action=action,
position=position,
pscore=pscore_,
stratum_idx=stratum_idx,
action_dist=action_dist,
).mean()
def estimate_interval(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
stratum_idx: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
estimated_pscore: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
alpha: float = 0.05,
n_bootstrap_samples: int = 10000,
random_state: Optional[int] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> Dict[str, float]:
"""Estimate the confidence interval of the policy value using bootstrap.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
stratum_idx: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Indices to differentiate the logging/behavior policy that generate each data, i.e., :math:`k_i`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
estimated_pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Estimated behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\hat{\\pi}_b(a_i|x_i)`.
If `self.use_estimated_pscore` is True, `estimated_pscore` must be given.
alpha: float, default=0.05
Significance level.
n_bootstrap_samples: int, default=10000
Number of resampling performed in bootstrap sampling.
random_state: int, default=None
Controls the random seed in bootstrap sampling.
Returns
----------
estimated_confidence_interval: Dict[str, float]
Dictionary storing the estimated mean and upper-lower confidence bounds.
"""
check_array(array=reward, name="reward", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=action, name="action", expected_dim=1)
check_array(array=stratum_idx, name="stratum_idx", expected_dim=1)
if self.use_estimated_pscore:
check_array(array=estimated_pscore, name="estimated_pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = estimated_pscore
else:
check_array(array=pscore, name="pscore", expected_dim=1)
pscore_ = pscore
check_multi_loggers_ope_inputs(
action_dist=action_dist,
position=position,
action=action,
reward=reward,
stratum_idx=stratum_idx,
pscore=pscore_,
)
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
estimated_round_rewards = self._estimate_round_rewards(
reward=reward,
action=action,
position=position,
stratum_idx=stratum_idx,
pscore=pscore_,
action_dist=action_dist,
)
return estimate_confidence_interval_by_bootstrap(
samples=estimated_round_rewards,
alpha=alpha,
n_bootstrap_samples=n_bootstrap_samples,
random_state=random_state,
)
@dataclass
class MultiLoggersNaiveDoublyRobust(BaseMultiLoggersOffPolicyEstimator):
"""Multi-Loggers Naive Doubly Robust (Multi-Naive-DR) Estimator.
Note
-------
This estimator is called Average DR in Kallus et al.(2021).
Multi-Naive-DR estimates the policy value of evaluation policy :math:`\\pi_e`
using logged data collected by multiple logging/behavior policies as
.. math::
\\hat{V}_{\\mathrm{Multi-Naive-DR}} (\\pi_e; \\mathcal{D}, \\hat{q})
:= \\mathbb{E}_{n} [\\hat{q}(x_i,\\pi_e) + w_{k_i}(x_i,a_i) (r_i - \\hat{q}(x_i,a_i))],
where :math:`\\mathcal{D}_k=\\{(x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n_k}` is logged bandit data with :math:`n_k` observations collected by
the k-th behavior policy :math:`\\pi_k`. :math:`w_k(x,a):=\\pi_e (a|x)/\\pi_k (a|x)` is the importance weight given :math:`x` and :math:`a` computed for the k-th behavior policy.
We can represent the whole logged bandit data as :math:`\\mathcal{D}=\\{(k_i,x_i,a_i,r_i)\\}_{i=1}^{n}` where :math:`k_i` is the index to indicate the logging/behavior policy that generates i-th data, i.e., :math:`\\pi_{k_i}`.
Note that :math:`n := \\sum_{k=1}^K` is the total number of logged bandit data.
:math:`\\mathbb{E}_{n}[\\cdot]` is the empirical average over :math:`n` observations in :math:`\\mathcal{D}`.
:math:`\\hat{q} (x,a)` is the estimated expected reward given :math:`x` and :math:`a`.
:math:`\\hat{q} (x_i,\\pi):= \\mathbb{E}_{a \\sim \\pi(a|x)}[\\hat{q}(x,a)]` is the expectation of the estimated reward function over :math:`\\pi`.
When the clipping is applied, a large importance weight is clipped as :math:`\\hat{w}_k(x,a) := \\min \\{ \\lambda, w_k(x,a) \\}`, where :math:`\\lambda (>0)` is a hyperparameter to specify a maximum allowed importance weight.
Multi-Naive-DR applies the standard DR to each stratum and takes the weighted average of the K datasets.
Parameters
------------
lambda_: float, default=np.inf
A maximum possible value of the importance weight.
When a positive finite value is given, importance weights larger than `lambda_` will be clipped.
use_estimated_pscore: bool, default=False.
If True, `estimated_pscore` is used, otherwise, `pscore` (the true propensity scores) is used.
estimator_name: str, default='multi_dr'.
Name of the estimator.
References
------------
Aman Agarwal, Soumya Basu, Tobias Schnabel, and Thorsten Joachims.
"Effective Evaluation using Logged Bandit Feedback from Multiple Loggers.", 2018.
Nathan Kallus, Yuta Saito, and Masatoshi Uehara.
"Optimal Off-Policy Evaluation from Multiple Logging Policies.", 2021.
"""
lambda_: float = np.inf
use_estimated_pscore: bool = False
estimator_name: str = "multi_dr"
def __post_init__(self) -> None:
"""Initialize Class."""
check_scalar(
self.lambda_,
name="lambda_",
target_type=(int, float),
min_val=0.0,
)
if self.lambda_ != self.lambda_:
raise ValueError("`lambda_` must not be nan")
if not isinstance(self.use_estimated_pscore, bool):
raise TypeError(
f"`use_estimated_pscore` must be a bool, but {type(self.use_estimated_pscore)} is given"
)
def _estimate_round_rewards(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
pscore: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,
estimated_rewards_by_reg_model: np.ndarray,
position: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Estimate round-wise (or sample-wise) rewards.
Parameters
----------
reward: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Rewards observed for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`r_i`.
action: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Actions sampled by the logging/behavior policy for each data in logged bandit data, i.e., :math:`a_i`.
pscore: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Action choice probabilities of the logging/behavior policy (propensity scores), i.e., :math:`\\pi_k(a_i|x_i)`.
If `use_estimated_pscore` is False, `pscore` must be given.
action_dist: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Action choice probabilities of the evaluation policy (can be deterministic), i.e., :math:`\\pi_e(a_i|x_i)`.
estimated_rewards_by_reg_model: array-like, shape (n_rounds, n_actions, len_list)
Estimated expected rewards given context, action, and position, i.e., :math:`\\hat{q}(x_i,a_i)`.
position: array-like, shape (n_rounds,), default=None
Indices to differentiate positions in a recommendation interface where the actions are presented.
If None, the effect of position on the reward will be ignored.
(If only a single action is chosen for each data, you can just ignore this argument.)
Returns
----------
estimated_rewards: array-like, shape (n_rounds,)
Estimated rewards for each observation.
"""
if position is None:
position = np.zeros(action_dist.shape[0], dtype=int)
iw = action_dist[np.arange(action.shape[0]), action, position] / pscore
# weight clipping
if isinstance(iw, np.ndarray):
iw = np.minimum(iw, self.lambda_)
n = action.shape[0]
q_hat_at_position = estimated_rewards_by_reg_model[np.arange(n), :, position]
q_hat_factual = estimated_rewards_by_reg_model[np.arange(n), action, position]
pi_e_at_position = action_dist[np.arange(n), :, position]
estimated_rewards = np.average(
q_hat_at_position,
weights=pi_e_at_position,
axis=1,
)
estimated_rewards += iw * (reward - q_hat_factual)
return estimated_rewards
def estimate_policy_value(
self,
reward: np.ndarray,
action: np.ndarray,
action_dist: np.ndarray,