From 00dcf4a0fcf6080d2530c4205597695e68c893c9 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 13 Feb 2024 10:50:42 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 01/27] ISI-IPSICast-20240213 (#138) * Add files via upload Added week 2023_46 forecast (predictions on weeks 47, 48, 49, 50) * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload Added 2023_47 forecast * Add files via upload Added forecast for weeks 49, 50, 51, 52 * Add files via upload Added forecasts for weeks 2023-50, 2023-51, 2023-52, 2023-53 * Create 2023_50.csv Added predictions for the weeks 51, 52, 1, 2 * Added forecasts for weeks 52, 01, 02, 03 * Create 2023_52.csv Added forecasts for weeks 01, 02, 03, 04 - 2024 * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Added forecasts W03 * Added forecasts W04 * Added forecasts W05 --- previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv | 93 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv b/previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..f57e6c32 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.01,1,5.247254323176206 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.025,1,5.520081834772589 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.05,1,5.747153613143775 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.1,1,6.001989694194876 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.15,1,6.1705793319772235 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.2,1,6.303058050426472 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.25,1,6.415859021481889 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.3,1,6.516623680926748 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.35,1,6.609648354086213 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.4,1,6.697692570705191 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.45,1,6.782738313619017 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.5,1,6.866370027078699 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.55,1,6.950001740538381 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.6,1,7.035047483452208 +2024,5,IT,quantile,0.65,1,7.1230917000711855 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b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -5,6 +5,12 @@ "changes": [ "previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_05.csv" ] + }, + { + "model": "IPSICast", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv" + ] } ], "FBK_HE": [ From 7187d8eb72d4769d2da712a1f8ac37db6e6958fc Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: luca-rossi-it <151662901+luca-rossi-it@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 13 Feb 2024 22:24:23 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 03/27] ISI GLEAM 2024W05 (#139) * GLEAM forecasts 2023W47 * GLEAM forecasts 2023W48 * ISI GLEAM 2023W49 * GLEAM forecasts 2023W50 * GLEAM forecasts 2023W51 * GLEAM forecasts 2023W52 * GLEAM forecasts 2024W01 * GLEAM forecasts 2024W02 * GLEAM forecasts 2024W03 * GLEAM forecasts 2024W04 * GLEAM forecasts 2024W05 --- previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2024_05.csv | 1841 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1841 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2024_05.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2024_05.csv b/previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2024_05.csv new file mode 100644 index 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b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -11,6 +11,12 @@ "changes": [ "previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2024_05.csv" ] + }, + { + "model": "GLEAM", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2024_05.csv" + ] } ], "FBK_HE": [ From 062a0637a932e48498e08aa115264f5cab0a7b77 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 13 Feb 2024 22:57:02 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 05/27] Update model-output db json --- .github/data-storage/target_db.json | 27 +-------------------------- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 26 deletions(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json index e19ae72a..9e26dfee 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json @@ -1,26 +1 @@ -{ - "changes": [ - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_05.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_05.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_05.csv", - 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<41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 14 Feb 2024 02:30:37 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 08/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json | 11 ++++++++++- 1 file changed, 10 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json index 9e26dfee..683a0174 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json @@ -1 +1,10 @@ -{} \ No newline at end of file +{ + "Influcast": [ + { + "model": "Ensemble", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2024_05.csv" + ] + } + ] +} \ No newline at end of file From ed2773fb60449b264fde98ba34cf9529fb9f11c4 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 14 Feb 2024 02:36:32 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 09/27] Update data storage --- .../Influcast-quantileBaseline/2024_05.csv | 1841 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1841 insertions(+) create mode 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<41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 14 Feb 2024 03:06:35 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 11/27] Update model-output db json --- .github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json | 17 +---------------- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 16 deletions(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json index ba5487cf..9e26dfee 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json @@ -1,16 +1 @@ -{ - "Influcast": [ - { - "model": "Ensemble", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2024_05.csv" - ] - }, - { - "model": "quantileBaseline", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/Influcast-quantileBaseline/2024_05.csv" - ] - } - ] -} \ No newline at end of file +{} \ No newline at end of file From f4dfbb297fc9e78640e04b157438fb5b77e19920 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Thu, 15 Feb 2024 14:09:21 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 12/27] EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL 2024_05.csv --- previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_05.csv | 93 +++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_05.csv diff --git a/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_05.csv b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_05.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..3ece97c5 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_05.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.01,1,7.138369639792968 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.01,2,6.078407686713701 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.01,3,5.383460605171323 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.01,4,5.072103880391834 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.99,1,8.167705845878986 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.99,2,8.119837246947712 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.99,3,8.363330781993342 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.99,4,8.814768956303988 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.025,1,7.156477826740349 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.025,2,6.114320722608153 +2024,05,IT,quantile,0.025,3,5.435882783582783 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storage --- supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv | 12 ++++++++---- 1 file changed, 8 insertions(+), 4 deletions(-) diff --git a/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv b/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv index bbd861ca..08c324bb 100644 --- a/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv +++ b/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv @@ -1,8 +1,12 @@ year,week,horizon,horizon_end_date,is_latest,forecast_round -2024,5,1,2024-02-11,True,12 -2024,5,2,2024-02-18,True,12 -2024,5,3,2024-02-25,True,12 -2024,5,4,2024-03-03,True,12 +2024,6,1,2024-02-18,True,13 +2024,6,2,2024-02-25,True,13 +2024,6,3,2024-03-03,True,13 +2024,6,4,2024-03-10,True,13 +2024,5,1,2024-02-11,False,12 +2024,5,2,2024-02-18,False,12 +2024,5,3,2024-02-25,False,12 +2024,5,4,2024-03-03,False,12 2024,4,1,2024-02-04,False,11 2024,4,2,2024-02-11,False,11 2024,4,3,2024-02-18,False,11 From 7b79775c17c83741e90b38a1da0950d20ac35399 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Fri, 16 Feb 2024 16:56:01 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 14/27] 202406 data (#140) * removed latest * added 2024_06 surveillance data --- sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_06.csv | 10 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_06.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ .../2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ .../friuli_venezia_giulia-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2024_06.csv | 18 ++++++++++ .../2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/basilicata-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv | 1 + .../latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv | 1 + .../latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv | 33 ++++++++++--------- .../2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/pa_bolzano-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/umbria-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/veneto-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2024_06.csv | 14 ++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2024_06.csv | 10 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ .../2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2024_06.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2024_06.csv | 15 +++++++++ 42 files changed, 330 insertions(+), 16 deletions(-) create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2024_06.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2024_06.csv diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..2d017982 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,15 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,512.0,61072.0,8.38 +2023,46,607.0,67485.0,8.99 +2023,47,907.0,85002.0,10.67 +2023,48,952.0,7506.0,12.68 +2023,49,996.0,81701.0,12.19 +2023,50,1271.0,81879.0,15.52 +2023,51,1174.0,7317.0,16.04 +2023,52,1852.0,85118.0,21.76 +2024,1,1835.0,86443.0,21.23 +2024,2,1594.0,87926.0,18.13 +2024,3,1437.0,84644.0,16.98 +2024,4,984.0,75442.0,13.04 +2024,5,830.0,81020.0,10.24 +2024,6,1032.0,91748.0,11.25 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..82fe9859 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,10 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,50,20.0,11287.0,1.77 +2023,51,24.0,11287.0,2.13 +2023,52,86.0,11287.0,7.62 +2024,1,120.0,11287.0,10.63 +2024,2,119.0,11287.0,10.54 +2024,3,108.0,11287.0,9.57 +2024,4,91.0,11287.0,8.06 +2024,5,52.0,11287.0,4.61 +2024,6,42.0,11287.0,3.72 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..8d6d564e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..2a32ad4c --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,15 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,44.0,15934.0,2.76 +2023,46,113.0,18081.0,6.25 +2023,47,276.0,42464.0,6.5 +2023,48,226.0,39438.0,5.73 +2023,49,372.0,45697.0,8.14 +2023,50,935.0,29622.0,31.56 +2023,51,461.0,19610.0,23.51 +2023,52,659.0,26885.0,24.51 +2024,1,883.0,49550.0,17.82 +2024,2,791.0,49317.0,16.04 +2024,3,628.0,29408.0,21.35 +2024,4,380.0,41699.0,9.11 +2024,5,462.0,49866.0,9.26 +2024,6,249.0,36937.0,6.74 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..74aee728 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,15 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,810.0,124027.0,6.53 +2023,46,1030.0,118724.0,8.68 +2023,47,1445.0,137095.0,10.54 +2023,48,1581.0,139379.0,11.34 +2023,49,1295.0,126195.0,10.26 +2023,50,2298.0,138495.0,16.59 +2023,51,2431.0,120409.0,20.19 +2023,52,2392.0,120556.0,19.84 +2024,1,2105.0,136984.0,15.37 +2024,2,1724.0,141154.0,12.21 +2024,3,1620.0,154771.0,10.47 +2024,4,1257.0,135622.0,9.27 +2024,5,1180.0,138346.0,8.53 +2024,6,1109.0,133544.0,8.3 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..90d35919 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,15 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,3.0,6804.0,0.44 +2023,46,27.0,9079.0,2.97 +2023,47,67.0,15174.0,4.42 +2023,48,164.0,27346.0,6.0 +2023,49,202.0,33214.0,6.08 +2023,50,354.0,31317.0,11.3 +2023,51,645.0,22358.0,28.85 +2023,52,485.0,20472.0,23.69 +2024,1,264.0,34683.0,7.61 +2024,2,383.0,32105.0,11.93 +2024,3,580.0,41629.0,13.93 +2024,4,325.0,32300.0,10.06 +2024,5,443.0,32307.0,13.71 +2024,6,424.0,39739.0,10.67 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2024_06.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..abb3e7b6 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,18 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,42,10121,2038656,4.96 +2023,43,10655,2047131,5.2 +2023,44,11505,2054748,5.6 +2023,45,14575,2103034,6.93 +2023,46,17685,2147803,8.23 +2023,47,21211,2175192,9.75 +2023,48,25287,2189459,11.55 +2023,49,27756,2205535,12.58 +2023,50,34966,2211308,15.81 +2023,51,39562,2160444,18.31 +2023,52,39500,2122840,18.61 +2024,1,36278,2117968,17.13 +2024,2,30484,2123396,14.36 +2024,3,24522,2072923,11.83 +2024,4,19704,1999418,9.85 +2024,5,16069,1840763,8.73 +2024,6,11670,1444436,8.08 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv index 9b1b8fe4..2d017982 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,1437.0,84644.0,16.98 2024,4,984.0,75442.0,13.04 2024,5,830.0,81020.0,10.24 +2024,6,1032.0,91748.0,11.25 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/basilicata-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/basilicata-latest.csv index c83a58f4..82fe9859 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/basilicata-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/basilicata-latest.csv @@ -7,3 +7,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,108.0,11287.0,9.57 2024,4,91.0,11287.0,8.06 2024,5,52.0,11287.0,4.61 +2024,6,42.0,11287.0,3.72 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv index c4466f99..2a32ad4c 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,628.0,29408.0,21.35 2024,4,380.0,41699.0,9.11 2024,5,462.0,49866.0,9.26 +2024,6,249.0,36937.0,6.74 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv index e6273932..74aee728 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,1620.0,154771.0,10.47 2024,4,1257.0,135622.0,9.27 2024,5,1180.0,138346.0,8.53 +2024,6,1109.0,133544.0,8.3 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv index c3adbeb4..90d35919 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,580.0,41629.0,13.93 2024,4,325.0,32300.0,10.06 2024,5,443.0,32307.0,13.71 +2024,6,424.0,39739.0,10.67 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv index 5cef84ec..abb3e7b6 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv @@ -1,17 +1,18 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza -2023,42,10120,2035396,4.97 -2023,43,10654,2042367,5.22 -2023,44,11504,2049984,5.61 -2023,45,14575,2099774,6.94 -2023,46,17681,2144543,8.24 -2023,47,21209,2171932,9.77 -2023,48,25274,2186199,11.56 -2023,49,27718,2200198,12.6 -2023,50,34899,2204531,15.83 -2023,51,39507,2153667,18.34 -2023,52,39367,2112137,18.64 -2024,1,36065,2102983,17.15 -2024,2,30190,2097121,14.4 -2024,3,23583,2015536,11.7 -2024,4,18301,1891386,9.68 -2024,5,13266,1554830,8.53 +2023,42,10121,2038656,4.96 +2023,43,10655,2047131,5.2 +2023,44,11505,2054748,5.6 +2023,45,14575,2103034,6.93 +2023,46,17685,2147803,8.23 +2023,47,21211,2175192,9.75 +2023,48,25287,2189459,11.55 +2023,49,27756,2205535,12.58 +2023,50,34966,2211308,15.81 +2023,51,39562,2160444,18.31 +2023,52,39500,2122840,18.61 +2024,1,36278,2117968,17.13 +2024,2,30484,2123396,14.36 +2024,3,24522,2072923,11.83 +2024,4,19704,1999418,9.85 +2024,5,16069,1840763,8.73 +2024,6,11670,1444436,8.08 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv index 672c477d..33ffcd94 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,2700.0,244581.0,11.04 2024,4,1988.0,226857.0,8.76 2024,5,1738.0,243542.0,7.14 +2024,6,1674.0,235689.0,7.1 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv index f4190e5a..ec75c055 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,1076.0,82337.0,13.07 2024,4,501.0,71275.0,7.03 2024,5,852.0,74694.0,11.41 +2024,6,770.0,68701.0,11.21 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv index cdd2d458..bc20eca1 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,3617.0,341240.0,10.6 2024,4,2775.0,310334.0,8.94 2024,5,2409.0,303333.0,7.94 +2024,6,2083.0,272761.0,7.64 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv index 9e53c47c..3b36ebb9 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,348.0,30041.0,11.58 2024,4,358.0,26917.0,13.3 2024,5,377.0,34325.0,10.98 +2024,6,253.0,29013.0,8.72 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv index 57270f2e..48ffb41d 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv @@ -11,3 +11,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,70.0,13015.0,5.38 2024,4,73.0,15555.0,4.69 2024,5,40.0,8164.0,4.9 +2024,6,39.0,10240.0,3.81 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_bolzano-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_bolzano-latest.csv index ef229c62..dc113bc3 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_bolzano-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_bolzano-latest.csv @@ -7,3 +7,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,113.0,8555.0,13.21 2024,4,70.0,7464.0,9.38 2024,5,67.0,8588.0,7.8 +2024,6,36.0,5856.0,6.15 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv index b8b06e96..5b110c25 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,236.0,20551.0,11.48 2024,4,73.0,11670.0,6.26 2024,5,107.0,15172.0,7.05 +2024,6,88.0,15149.0,5.81 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv index 2ee9f704..fbc438e3 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,927.0,86995.0,10.66 2024,4,604.0,73622.0,8.2 2024,5,663.0,86284.0,7.68 +2024,6,532.0,76950.0,6.91 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv index bce1730a..d491e0b5 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,815.0,81189.0,10.04 2024,4,680.0,73747.0,9.22 2024,5,776.0,103468.0,7.5 +2024,6,471.0,67982.0,6.93 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv index 39381ede..01a4f49b 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,342.0,22686.0,15.08 2024,4,329.0,22686.0,14.5 2024,5,308.0,22686.0,13.58 +2024,6,264.0,24177.0,10.92 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv index b39f309b..b6dfe03e 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2024,3,1974.0,145688.0,13.55 2024,4,2302.0,136627.0,16.85 2024,5,1315.0,145461.0,9.04 +2024,6,1137.0,137746.0,8.25 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv index e06f335c..a0ae4cee 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv @@ -12,3 +12,4 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+0000 Subject: [PATCH 15/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/target_db.json | 27 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++- 1 file changed, 26 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json index 9e26dfee..a451e65f 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json @@ -1 +1,26 @@ -{} \ No newline at end of file +{ + "changes": [ + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2024_06.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2024_06.csv", + 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<93254717+andbizz@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 19 Feb 2024 10:29:10 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 18/27] Fondazione Bruno Kessler - Health Emergencies, Renewal Equation with Seasonal Trend, 19/02/2024 (#142) * Previsioni settimana 52 FBK * Add files via upload * Previsioni settimana 52 - FBK * Proiezioni FBK settimana 01 * previsioni settimana 02, FBK * previsioni fbk settimana 03 * Previsioni Fbk, 11th Submission Round * previsioni settimana 05, fbk, 9/2/24 * previsioni fbk, 19 febbraio --- previsioni/FBK_HE-REST_HE/2024_06.csv | 93 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/FBK_HE-REST_HE/2024_06.csv diff --git a/previsioni/FBK_HE-REST_HE/2024_06.csv b/previsioni/FBK_HE-REST_HE/2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..3d4b28be --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/FBK_HE-REST_HE/2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.01,1,6.79416435883197 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Feb 2024 12:19:31 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 20/27] QMUL SEIR W06 (#143) * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_46.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023-47.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_1.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload --- previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv | 93 ++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv diff --git a/previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..2d0d61ea --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.01,1,0.76 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.025,1,0.81 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.05,1,0.9 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.1,1,1.03 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.15,1,1.17 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.2,1,1.31 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.25,1,1.45 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.3,1,1.6 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.35,1,1.74 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.4,1,1.91 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.45,1,2.09 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.5,1,2.28 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.55,1,2.53 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.6,1,2.73 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.65,1,2.98 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.7,1,3.27 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.75,1,3.61 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.8,1,4.03 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.85,1,4.5 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.9,1,5.08 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.95,1,5.96 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.975,1,6.59 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"previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv" + ] + } ] } \ No newline at end of file From 2119d14788cfa671750fbdb1979ac2bab9d891dd Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: nperra <85246812+nperra@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 19 Feb 2024 17:54:58 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 22/27] QMUL ARIMA W06 (#144) * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_46.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023-47.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_1.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload --- previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv | 93 +++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv diff --git a/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..7efcf63e --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.01,1,7.16243957279783 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.01,2,6.49879905437623 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.01,3,6.090557161105213 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.01,4,5.942186233059296 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.99,1,8.182531060306763 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.99,2,8.519224136530214 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.99,3,9.037117363349168 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.99,4,9.641167903299204 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.025,1,7.180385125718272 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.025,2,6.534342577361724 +2024,06,IT,quantile,0.025,3,6.142393347065124 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storage --- .github/data-storage/changes_db.json | 6 ++++++ 1 file changed, 6 insertions(+) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index dab0d766..a7e8af64 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -21,6 +21,12 @@ "changes": [ "previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2024_06.csv" ] + }, + { + "model": "ARIMA_QMUL", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv" + ] } ] } \ No newline at end of file From 7f486c6684947a7a8b2cc5881b414e83451716db Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Mon, 19 Feb 2024 22:03:01 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 24/27] ISI-FluABCaster 2024_06 (#145) --- previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_06.csv | 1841 ++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1841 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_06.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_06.csv b/previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 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++++++++ 1 file changed, 8 insertions(+) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index a7e8af64..ea76cedb 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -28,5 +28,13 @@ "previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2024_06.csv" ] } + ], + "ISI": [ + { + "model": "FluABCaster", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_06.csv" + ] + } ] } \ No newline at end of file From 9212ffad378ca6177b4d95b30b3031b842dd5979 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Federic0Bald0 <39213854+Federic0Bald0@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2024 10:42:07 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 26/27] pull request: flu forecast 6th week 2024 (#146) * Add files via upload Upload predictions 47th week 2023 * Add files via upload Fix format csv submission 47th week * Add files via upload Added forecast flu 48th week 2023 * Flu forecast week 49 2023 * Add files via upload Forecast flu week 50-2023 * Add files via upload flu forecast week 50 2023 * Delete 2023_50.csv * Flu forecast 51 week 2023 * Flu forecast 52 week 2023 * Flu forecast 1st week 2024 * Flu forecast 2nd week 2023 * flu forecast 3rd week 2024 * fix flu forecast 3rd week 2024 * flu forecast 5th week 2024 * flu forecast 6th week 2024 --- previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2024_06.csv | 2025 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 2025 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2024_06.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2024_06.csv b/previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2024_06.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..0bc02216 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2024_06.csv @@ -0,0 +1,2025 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2024,6,IT,quantile,0.01,1,13.07276669 +2024,6,IT,quantile,0.025,1,13.106211725 +2024,6,IT,quantile,0.05,1,13.16195345 +2024,6,IT,quantile,0.1,1,13.2464714 +2024,6,IT,quantile,0.15,1,13.2995296 +2024,6,IT,quantile,0.2,1,13.6909542 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+2024,6,21,quantile,0.7,4,5.5254439 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.75,4,5.90847525 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.8,4,6.06775912 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.85,4,6.126505059999999 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.9,4,6.656901940000001 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.95,4,7.24084945 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.975,4,7.555773474999999 +2024,6,21,quantile,0.99,4,7.744727889999999 From 83fb7fabea6fa38c93aa1829204b622579f436d1 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:42:31 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 27/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/changes_db.json | 8 ++++++++ 1 file changed, 8 insertions(+) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index ea76cedb..60d70423 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -36,5 +36,13 @@ "previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2024_06.csv" ] } + ], + "ev_and_modelers": [ + { + "model": "DeepRE", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2024_06.csv" + ] + } ] } \ No newline at end of file