From b3d31acc459ba87224951533d8de618af1e33502 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2023 19:22:22 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 01/27] ISI-IPSICast-20231212 (#55) * Add files via upload Added week 2023_46 forecast (predictions on weeks 47, 48, 49, 50) * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload Added 2023_47 forecast * Add files via upload Added forecast for weeks 49, 50, 51, 52 --- previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv | 93 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv b/previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..2090ace8 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.01,1,9.747151682285276 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.025,1,9.924606989520903 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0512f8de9f48c63aa445423dbde2e773dfa5c270 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: luca-rossi-it <151662901+luca-rossi-it@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2023 19:42:15 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 03/27] ISI GLEAM 2023-12-12 (#56) * GLEAM forecasts 2023W47 * GLEAM forecasts 2023W48 --- previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv | 93 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv b/previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..73f19e3e --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.01,1,10.52 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.01,2,9.73 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.01,3,8.32 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.01,4,6.93 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.025,1,10.58 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.025,2,9.77 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.025,3,8.40 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.025,4,6.98 +2023,48,IT,quantile,0.05,1,10.65 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storage --- .github/data-storage/changes_db.json | 6 ++++++ 1 file changed, 6 insertions(+) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index 71583bbf..945b5d61 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -25,6 +25,12 @@ "changes": [ "previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv" ] + }, + { + "model": "GLEAM", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv" + ] } ], "CSL_PoliTo": [ From 3df5d724af1fd7b359e555b79c01225aafe566f8 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2023 22:57:03 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 05/27] Update model-output db json --- .github/data-storage/target_db.json | 27 +-------------------------- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 26 deletions(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json index 20e4b123..9e26dfee 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json @@ -1,26 +1 @@ -{ - "changes": [ - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_48.csv", - "sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_48.csv" - ] -} \ No newline at end of file +{} \ No newline at end of file From d5cebbf2b0c79eca8f8af91f0a10454f0a56f493 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2023 23:22:33 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 06/27] Update model-output db json --- .github/data-storage/changes_db.json | 53 +--------------------------- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 52 deletions(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index 945b5d61..9e26dfee 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -1,52 +1 @@ -{ - "EpiQMUL": [ - { - "model": "SEIR_QMUL", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_48.csv" - ] - }, - { - "model": "ARIMA_QMUL", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023_48.csv" - ] - } - ], - "ISI": [ - { - "model": "FluABCaster", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2023_48.csv" - ] - }, - { - "model": "IPSICast", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/ISI-IPSICast/2023_48.csv" - ] - }, - { - "model": "GLEAM", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/ISI-GLEAM/2023_48.csv" - ] - } - ], - "CSL_PoliTo": [ - { - "model": "metaFlu", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu/2023_48.csv" - ] - } - ], - "ev_and_modelers": [ - { - "model": "DeepRE", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_48.csv" - ] - } - ] -} \ No newline at end of file +{} \ No newline at end of file From 7c10eda6143d395939e0581e5d8f5850aab31b3b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 02:38:39 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 07/27] Update data storage --- .github/logs/ensemble-members/2023_48.json | 1 + previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2023_48.csv | 2025 ++++++++++++++++++++ 2 files changed, 2026 insertions(+) create mode 100644 .github/logs/ensemble-members/2023_48.json create mode 100644 previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2023_48.csv diff --git a/.github/logs/ensemble-members/2023_48.json b/.github/logs/ensemble-members/2023_48.json new file mode 100644 index 00000000..0522bf7c --- /dev/null +++ b/.github/logs/ensemble-members/2023_48.json @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +[{"regions": [{"id": "01", "members": [{"horizon": 1, "models": ["CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu", "ISI-FluABCaster", "ev_and_modelers-DeepRE"]}, {"horizon": 2, "models": ["CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu", "ISI-FluABCaster", "ev_and_modelers-DeepRE"]}, {"horizon": 3, "models": ["CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu", "ISI-FluABCaster", "ev_and_modelers-DeepRE"]}, {"horizon": 4, "models": ["CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu", "ISI-FluABCaster", "ev_and_modelers-DeepRE"]}]}, {"id": "02", "members": [{"horizon": 1, "models": ["CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu", "ev_and_modelers-DeepRE"]}, {"horizon": 2, "models": ["CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu", 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--git a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json index 9e26dfee..9ead8c8d 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json @@ -1 +1,10 @@ -{} \ No newline at end of file +{ + "Influcast": [ + { + "model": "Ensemble", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2023_48.csv" + ] + } + ] +} \ No newline at end of file From c8cb592d44721bdfbdd20581f14e143b34a6b848 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 02:43:19 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 09/27] Update data storage --- .../Influcast-quantileBaseline/2023_48.csv | 1657 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1657 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/Influcast-quantileBaseline/2023_48.csv diff --git a/previsioni/Influcast-quantileBaseline/2023_48.csv b/previsioni/Influcast-quantileBaseline/2023_48.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..6178aab4 --- /dev/null +++ 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+2023,48,21,quantile,0.9,4,12.33 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.95,1,10.92 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.95,2,12.25 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.95,3,13.43 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.95,4,14.45 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.975,1,10.92 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.975,2,12.33 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.975,3,13.58 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.975,4,14.68199999999997 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.99,1,10.92 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.99,2,12.33 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.99,3,13.66 +2023,48,21,quantile,0.99,4,14.91 From 97b65cf0d890cc09d7e7577b491a34fc8994e0d5 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 02:43:40 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 10/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json | 6 ++++++ 1 file changed, 6 insertions(+) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json index 9ead8c8d..e45ec9c8 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json @@ -5,6 +5,12 @@ "changes": [ "previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2023_48.csv" ] + }, + { + "model": "quantileBaseline", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/Influcast-quantileBaseline/2023_48.csv" + ] } ] } \ No newline at end of file From 25bf5e7ced5a19e19d3d227f30eb30f1b0acbb32 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 03:07:25 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 11/27] Update model-output db json --- .github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json | 17 +---------------- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 16 deletions(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json index e45ec9c8..9e26dfee 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/ensemble_db.json @@ -1,16 +1 @@ -{ - "Influcast": [ - { - "model": "Ensemble", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/Influcast-Ensemble/2023_48.csv" - ] - }, - { - "model": "quantileBaseline", - "changes": [ - "previsioni/Influcast-quantileBaseline/2023_48.csv" - ] - } - ] -} \ No newline at end of file +{} \ No newline at end of file From 0e6d7f0a80048b7c51e8fc2447fb7a83bbeab686 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 16:26:22 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 12/27] adding 2023_49 data (#57) * added 202348 forecast * removed latest * added 2023_49 data --- sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_49.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_49.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ .../2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_49.csv | 9 +++++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv | 1 + .../latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv | 15 ++++++++------- sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv | 1 + .../2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/umbria-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/veneto-latest.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_49.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_49.csv | 1 + sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_49.csv | 6 ++++++ 40 files changed, 140 insertions(+), 7 deletions(-) create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_49.csv create mode 100644 sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_49.csv diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..5ff61349 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,512.0,61072.0,8.38 +2023,46,607.0,67485.0,8.99 +2023,47,907.0,85002.0,10.67 +2023,48,952.0,7506.0,12.68 +2023,49,996.0,81701.0,12.19 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..8d6d564e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..8d6d564e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..87d84128 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,44.0,15934.0,2.76 +2023,46,113.0,18081.0,6.25 +2023,47,276.0,42464.0,6.5 +2023,48,226.0,39438.0,5.73 +2023,49,372.0,45697.0,8.14 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..a56900e1 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,810.0,124027.0,6.53 +2023,46,1030.0,118724.0,8.68 +2023,47,1445.0,137095.0,10.54 +2023,48,1581.0,139379.0,11.34 +2023,49,1295.0,126195.0,10.26 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..5f61059c --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,3.0,6804.0,0.44 +2023,46,27.0,9079.0,2.97 +2023,47,67.0,15174.0,4.42 +2023,48,164.0,27346.0,6.0 +2023,49,202.0,33214.0,6.08 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..48637716 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,9 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,42,9496,1938308,4.9 +2023,43,9968,1938544,5.14 +2023,44,10567,1943901,5.44 +2023,45,1333,1981391,6.73 +2023,46,15995,2006738,7.97 +2023,47,18559,1972198,9.41 +2023,48,20317,1850606,10.98 +2023,49,16157,1456303,11.09 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv index cf4b4bb5..5ff61349 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/abruzzo-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,607.0,67485.0,8.99 2023,47,907.0,85002.0,10.67 2023,48,952.0,7506.0,12.68 +2023,49,996.0,81701.0,12.19 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv index 1d14631d..87d84128 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/campania-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,113.0,18081.0,6.25 2023,47,276.0,42464.0,6.5 2023,48,226.0,39438.0,5.73 +2023,49,372.0,45697.0,8.14 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv index 226cf09a..a56900e1 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/emilia_romagna-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,1030.0,118724.0,8.68 2023,47,1445.0,137095.0,10.54 2023,48,1581.0,139379.0,11.34 +2023,49,1295.0,126195.0,10.26 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv index 58b56a29..5f61059c 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/friuli_venezia_giulia-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,27.0,9079.0,2.97 2023,47,67.0,15174.0,4.42 2023,48,164.0,27346.0,6.0 +2023,49,202.0,33214.0,6.08 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv index 542e64fd..48637716 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/italia-latest.csv @@ -1,8 +1,9 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza -2023,42,9309,1915245,4.86 -2023,43,9846,1917522,5.13 -2023,44,10371,1916771,5.41 -2023,45,13049,1949480,6.69 -2023,46,15523,1960690,7.92 -2023,47,17427,1866459,9.34 -2023,48,16138,1507021,10.71 +2023,42,9496,1938308,4.9 +2023,43,9968,1938544,5.14 +2023,44,10567,1943901,5.44 +2023,45,1333,1981391,6.73 +2023,46,15995,2006738,7.97 +2023,47,18559,1972198,9.41 +2023,48,20317,1850606,10.98 +2023,49,16157,1456303,11.09 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv index 18184d80..f2019402 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lazio-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,1243.0,214737.0,5.79 2023,47,1803.0,244478.0,7.37 2023,48,2114.0,227243.0,9.3 +2023,49,1984.0,20689.0,9.59 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv index ba9d5f2d..c4b55a46 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/liguria-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,651.0,81344.0,8.0 2023,47,867.0,79719.0,10.88 2023,48,882.0,82489.0,10.69 +2023,49,778.0,75685.0,10.28 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv index ab85d712..0af94507 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/lombardia-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,3.029,279536.0,10.84 2023,47,4144.0,329803.0,12.57 2023,48,4602.0,314425.0,14.64 +2023,49,4292.0,293554.0,14.62 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv index f17ff635..bcc10a6c 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/marche-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,197.0,29651.0,6.64 2023,47,216.0,33744.0,6.4 2023,48,335.0,36037.0,9.3 +2023,49,349.0,30838.0,11.32 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv index 6ef0b6ef..3694fe2e 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/molise-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,28.0,15555.0,1.8 2023,47,40.0,15555.0,2.57 2023,48,58.0,15555.0,3.73 +2023,49,46.0,12817.0,3.59 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv index 38331299..9beaa555 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/pa_trento-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,117.0,18045.0,6.48 2023,47,119.0,18148.0,6.56 2023,48,90.0,18395.0,4.89 +2023,49,132.0,19856.0,6.65 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv index bdedfda4..4b2ef79b 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/piemonte-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,812.0,84846.0,9.57 2023,47,1016.0,91199.0,11.14 2023,48,954.0,82355.0,11.58 +2023,49,1002.0,8223.0,12.19 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv index eae8288c..a8820efd 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/puglia-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,381.0,75136.0,5.07 2023,47,768.0,10075.0,7.62 2023,48,821.0,87786.0,9.35 +2023,49,884.0,80392.0,11.0 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv index 25a61f73..e74d53dc 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sardegna-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,82.0,1856.0,4.42 2023,47,80.0,19397.0,4.12 2023,48,152.0,19674.0,7.73 +2023,49,143.0,21776.0,6.57 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv index f7ac6c96..50a4dc4e 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/sicilia-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,853.0,149173.0,5.72 2023,47,1084.0,160836.0,6.74 2023,48,1308.0,145701.0,8.98 +2023,49,1617.0,145029.0,11.15 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv index aa273fd5..cf0289ab 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/toscana-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,312.0,54619.0,5.71 2023,47,544.0,61919.0,8.79 2023,48,658.0,61372.0,10.72 +2023,49,734.0,66926.0,10.97 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/umbria-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/umbria-latest.csv index 0aad1df0..6c04fc4c 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/umbria-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/umbria-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,66.0,13384.0,4.93 2023,47,118.0,15791.0,7.47 2023,48,127.0,17147.0,7.41 +2023,49,151.0,16193.0,9.33 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/veneto-latest.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/veneto-latest.csv index a83e15cc..52558acd 100644 --- a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/veneto-latest.csv +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/latest/veneto-latest.csv @@ -3,3 +3,4 @@ anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza 2023,46,679.0,96944.0,7.0 2023,47,914.0,112871.0,8.1 2023,48,1089.0,114484.0,9.51 +2023,49,1145.0,112753.0,10.15 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..f2019402 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,1046.0,217467.0,4.81 +2023,46,1243.0,214737.0,5.79 +2023,47,1803.0,244478.0,7.37 +2023,48,2114.0,227243.0,9.3 +2023,49,1984.0,20689.0,9.59 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..c4b55a46 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,442.0,63041.0,7.01 +2023,46,651.0,81344.0,8.0 +2023,47,867.0,79719.0,10.88 +2023,48,882.0,82489.0,10.69 +2023,49,778.0,75685.0,10.28 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..0af94507 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,2611.0,293163.0,8.91 +2023,46,3.029,279536.0,10.84 +2023,47,4144.0,329803.0,12.57 +2023,48,4602.0,314425.0,14.64 +2023,49,4292.0,293554.0,14.62 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..bcc10a6c --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,137.0,24447.0,5.6 +2023,46,197.0,29651.0,6.64 +2023,47,216.0,33744.0,6.4 +2023,48,335.0,36037.0,9.3 +2023,49,349.0,30838.0,11.32 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..3694fe2e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,12.0,8265.0,1.45 +2023,46,28.0,15555.0,1.8 +2023,47,40.0,15555.0,2.57 +2023,48,58.0,15555.0,3.73 +2023,49,46.0,12817.0,3.59 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..8d6d564e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..9beaa555 --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,78.0,16959.0,4.6 +2023,46,117.0,18045.0,6.48 +2023,47,119.0,18148.0,6.56 +2023,48,90.0,18395.0,4.89 +2023,49,132.0,19856.0,6.65 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..4b2ef79b --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,705.0,85667.0,8.23 +2023,46,812.0,84846.0,9.57 +2023,47,1016.0,91199.0,11.14 +2023,48,954.0,82355.0,11.58 +2023,49,1002.0,8223.0,12.19 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..a8820efd --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,319.0,7652.0,4.17 +2023,46,381.0,75136.0,5.07 +2023,47,768.0,10075.0,7.62 +2023,48,821.0,87786.0,9.35 +2023,49,884.0,80392.0,11.0 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..e74d53dc --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,64.0,2005.0,3.19 +2023,46,82.0,1856.0,4.42 +2023,47,80.0,19397.0,4.12 +2023,48,152.0,19674.0,7.73 +2023,49,143.0,21776.0,6.57 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..50a4dc4e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,847.0,156114.0,5.43 +2023,46,853.0,149173.0,5.72 +2023,47,1084.0,160836.0,6.74 +2023,48,1308.0,145701.0,8.98 +2023,49,1617.0,145029.0,11.15 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..cf0289ab --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,245.0,50285.0,4.87 +2023,46,312.0,54619.0,5.71 +2023,47,544.0,61919.0,8.79 +2023,48,658.0,61372.0,10.72 +2023,49,734.0,66926.0,10.97 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..6c04fc4c --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,25.0,9915.0,2.52 +2023,46,66.0,13384.0,4.93 +2023,47,118.0,15791.0,7.47 +2023,48,127.0,17147.0,7.41 +2023,49,151.0,16193.0,9.33 diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..8d6d564e --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza diff --git a/sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_49.csv b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..52558acd --- /dev/null +++ b/sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +anno,settimana,numero_casi,numero_assistiti,incidenza +2023,45,458.0,80835.0,5.67 +2023,46,679.0,96944.0,7.0 +2023,47,914.0,112871.0,8.1 +2023,48,1089.0,114484.0,9.51 +2023,49,1145.0,112753.0,10.15 From 4ed56e3cacbd8b04c206cdf67896c538366df7a9 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 15:26:45 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 13/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/target_db.json | 27 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++- 1 file changed, 26 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json index 9e26dfee..8e989839 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/target_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/target_db.json @@ -1 +1,26 @@ -{} \ No newline at end of file +{ + "changes": [ + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/abruzzo-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/basilicata-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/calabria-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/campania-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/emilia_romagna-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/friuli_venezia_giulia-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/italia-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/lazio-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/liguria-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/lombardia-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/marche-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/molise-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_bolzano-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/pa_trento-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/piemonte-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/puglia-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/sardegna-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/sicilia-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/toscana-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/umbria-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/valle_d_aosta-2023_49.csv", + "sorveglianza/2023-2024/veneto-2023_49.csv" + ] +} \ No newline at end of file From d1a58b504e9aa89159aa9942dddfabc2cfcffaf7 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 16:34:26 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 14/27] Delete supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv --- supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv | 17 ----------------- 1 file changed, 17 deletions(-) delete mode 100644 supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv diff --git a/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv b/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv deleted file mode 100644 index 205cec95..00000000 --- a/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv +++ /dev/null @@ -1,17 +0,0 @@ -year,week,horizon,horizon_end_date,is_latest,forecast_round -2023,48,1,2023-12-10,True,3 -2023,48,2,2023-12-17,True,3 -2023,48,3,2023-12-24,True,3 -2023,48,4,2023-12-31,True,3 -2023,47,1,2023-12-03,False,2 -2023,47,2,2023-12-10,False,2 -2023,47,3,2023-12-17,False,2 -2023,47,4,2023-12-24,False,2 -2023,46,1,2023-11-26,False,1 -2023,46,2,2023-12-03,False,1 -2023,46,3,2023-12-10,False,1 -2023,46,4,2023-12-17,False,1 -2023,45,1,2023-11-19,False,0 -2023,45,2,2023-11-26,False,0 -2023,45,3,2023-12-03,False,0 -2023,45,4,2023-12-10,False,0 From 7103903fbf341c748467622684f92243fbdfc640 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 16:34:36 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 15/27] Add files via upload --- supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv | 21 +++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 21 insertions(+) create mode 100644 supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv diff --git a/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv b/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..76a599f3 --- /dev/null +++ b/supporting-files/forecasting_weeks.csv @@ -0,0 +1,21 @@ +year,week,horizon,horizon_end_date,is_latest,forecast_round +2023,49,1,2023-12-17,True,4 +2023,49,2,2023-12-24,True,4 +2023,49,3,2023-12-31,True,4 +2023,49,4,2024-01-07,True,4 +2023,48,1,2023-12-10,False,3 +2023,48,2,2023-12-17,False,3 +2023,48,3,2023-12-24,False,3 +2023,48,4,2023-12-31,False,3 +2023,47,1,2023-12-03,False,2 +2023,47,2,2023-12-10,False,2 +2023,47,3,2023-12-17,False,2 +2023,47,4,2023-12-24,False,2 +2023,46,1,2023-11-26,False,1 +2023,46,2,2023-12-03,False,1 +2023,46,3,2023-12-10,False,1 +2023,46,4,2023-12-17,False,1 +2023,45,1,2023-11-19,False,0 +2023,45,2,2023-11-26,False,0 +2023,45,3,2023-12-03,False,0 +2023,45,4,2023-12-10,False,0 From 0c1fa8e792c85cc2d2752cab9cd60a9383f55e2e Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: nperra <85246812+nperra@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 17:03:33 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 16/27] SEIR QMUL week 49 (#58) * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_46.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023-47.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload --- previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_49.csv | 93 ++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_49.csv diff --git a/previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_49.csv b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..3d35c759 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.01,1,5.02 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.025,1,5.35 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.05,1,5.71 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.1,1,6.4 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.15,1,6.94 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.2,1,7.36 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.25,1,7.77 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.3,1,8.15 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.35,1,8.53 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.4,1,8.94 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.45,1,9.36 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.5,1,9.73 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.55,1,10.09 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.6,1,10.5 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+2023,49,IT,quantile,0.2,4,1.71 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.25,4,1.95 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.3,4,2.25 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.35,4,2.59 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.4,4,2.99 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.45,4,3.46 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.5,4,3.94 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.55,4,4.58 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.6,4,5.24 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.65,4,6.02 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.7,4,6.77 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.75,4,7.54 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.8,4,8.34 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.85,4,9.22 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.9,4,10.43 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.95,4,12.11 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.975,4,13.63 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.99,4,15.52 From 9e7d0d9a0b6fded1ac576e50bd602de6330bc10b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 17:04:07 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 17/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/changes_db.json | 11 ++++++++++- 1 file changed, 10 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index 9e26dfee..5fd49394 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -1 +1,10 @@ -{} \ No newline at end of file +{ + "EpiQMUL": [ + { + "model": "SEIR_QMUL", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_49.csv" + ] + } + ] +} \ No newline at end of file From a4cb6fce1063598477222d437910094598ad0151 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 17:50:04 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 18/27] Update README.md --- README.md | 6 +++--- 1 file changed, 3 insertions(+), 3 deletions(-) diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 4ef87b63..0c9b734f 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ [![en](https://img.shields.io/badge/lang-en-red.svg)](https://github.com/Predizioni-Epidemiologiche-Italia/Influcast/blob/main/README.en.md) -__Influcast__ è il primo hub italiano di previsioni epidemiologiche che aggrega predizioni prodotte da diversi team di ricerca sul futuro andamento dell’influenza stagionale a livello nazionale e regionale. Il progetto è coordinato e mantenuto dalla [Fondazione ISI](https://www.isi.it/en/home) di Torino. +__Influcast__ è il primo hub italiano di previsioni epidemiologiche che aggrega predizioni prodotte da diversi team di ricerca sul futuro andamento delle sindromi simil-influenzali a livello nazionale e regionale. Il progetto è coordinato e mantenuto dalla [Fondazione ISI](https://www.isi.it/en/home) di Torino. Per visualizzare le ultime previsioni, visita la [pagina web](https://influcast.org/it/) del progetto. @@ -16,9 +16,9 @@ I dettagli riguardanti il formato e le modalità di caricamento dei dati sono di Per domande sull'adesione a Influcast, contattaci tramite [e-mail](mailto:influcast@isi.it). ### Come funziona Influcast? -Durante la stagione influenzale, i team aderenti inviano ogni settimana le previsioni probabilistiche dei loro modelli sull’incidenza influenzale nelle future quattro settimane. In particolare, Influcast considera il numero di casi riportati dalla rete di medici sentinella presenti sul territorio italiano come variabile target per le previsioni. Questo dato viene comunicato ogni venerdì dall’Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS) tramite il bollettino Flunews. Il dato di incidenza pubblicato da ISS è relativo alla settimana precedente, mentre l’aggiornamento della piattaforma Influcast avviene il martedì successivo all’aggiornamento, consentendo ai team di disporre di un intervallo di tempo per elaborare il nuovo dato e calibrare i modelli. Di conseguenza, le previsioni pubblicate il martedì su Influcast si riferiscono alla settimana precedente (per cui non esiste ancora un dato consolidato pubblico), alla settimana in corso e alle due successive. +Durante la stagione influenzale, i team aderenti inviano ogni settimana le previsioni probabilistiche dei loro modelli sull’incidenza delle sindromi simil-influenzali nelle future quattro settimane. In particolare, Influcast considera il numero di casi riportati dalla rete di medici sentinella presenti sul territorio italiano come variabile target per le previsioni. Questo dato viene comunicato ogni venerdì dall’Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS) tramite il bollettino RespiVirNet. Il dato di incidenza pubblicato da ISS è relativo alla settimana precedente, mentre l’aggiornamento della piattaforma Influcast avviene il martedì successivo all’aggiornamento, consentendo ai team di disporre di un intervallo di tempo per elaborare il nuovo dato e calibrare i modelli. Di conseguenza, le previsioni pubblicate il martedì su Influcast si riferiscono alla settimana precedente (per cui non esiste ancora un dato consolidato pubblico), alla settimana in corso e alle due successive. -Le previsioni dei singoli modelli vengono visualizzate insieme ai dati storici, consentendo di cogliere la prospettiva di ciascun modello sull'evoluzione dell'incidenza influenzale nel breve termine in Italia e nelle sue regioni. Infine, le previsioni di ciascun modello vengono combinate in modo da produrre una predizione di ensemble. +Le previsioni dei singoli modelli vengono visualizzate insieme ai dati storici, consentendo di cogliere la prospettiva di ciascun modello sull'evoluzione dell'incidenza delle sindromi simil-influenzali nel breve termine in Italia e nelle sue regioni. Infine, le previsioni di ciascun modello vengono combinate in modo da produrre una predizione di ensemble. ### Sorgenti dati Influcast utilizza i dati elaborati e resi disponibili in formato machine readable all'interno di questa repository: https://github.com/fbranda/influnet From 79b3a151b3e18a1c6dd85d4ca6894afc713e58c9 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 17:51:07 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 19/27] Update README.en.md --- README.en.md | 4 ++-- 1 file changed, 2 insertions(+), 2 deletions(-) diff --git a/README.en.md b/README.en.md index a3ef26ca..4355bef2 100644 --- a/README.en.md +++ b/README.en.md @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ [![it](https://img.shields.io/badge/lang-it-yellow.svg)](https://github.com/Predizioni-Epidemiologiche-Italia/Influcast/blob/main/README.md) -__Influcast__ is the first Italian hub for epidemiological forecasts that aggregates estimates produced by different research teams about the future trends of seasonal influenza at both national and regional levels. The project is coordinated and maintained by the [ISI Foundation](https://www.isi.it/en/home) in Turin. +__Influcast__ is the first Italian hub for epidemiological forecasts that aggregates estimates produced by different research teams about the future trends of influenza-like-illnesses at both national and regional levels. The project is coordinated and maintained by the [ISI Foundation](https://www.isi.it/en/home) in Turin. To view the latest forecasts, visit the project's [website](https://influcast.org/it/). @@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ Details regarding the format and the methods of data upload are outlined in the For any questions regarding joining Influcast, feel free to contact us via [email](mailto:influcast@isi.it). ### How does Influcast work? -During the influenza season, participating teams weekly submit probabilistic forecasts from their models regarding the influenza incidence for the upcoming four weeks. Specifically, Influcast considers the number of reported cases from the network of sentinel doctors across Italy as the target variable for the forecasts. This data is communicated every Friday by the Italian National Institute of Health (ISS) through the Flunews bulletin. The incidence data published by the ISS is for the previous week, while the update of the Influcast platform occurs on the following Tuesday, allowing the teams some time to process the new data and calibrate their models. Consequently, the forecasts published on Influcast on Tuesdays pertain to the previous week (for which there isn't yet a consolidated public data), the current week, and the two subsequent weeks. +During the influenza season, participating teams weekly submit probabilistic forecasts from their models regarding influenza-like-illness incidence for the upcoming four weeks. Specifically, Influcast considers the number of reported cases from the network of sentinel doctors across Italy as the target variable for the forecasts. This data is communicated every Friday by the Italian National Institute of Health (ISS) through the RespiVirNet bulletin. The incidence data published by the ISS is for the previous week, while the update of the Influcast platform occurs on the following Tuesday, allowing the teams some time to process the new data and calibrate their models. Consequently, the forecasts published on Influcast on Tuesdays pertain to the previous week (for which there isn't yet a consolidated public data), the current week, and the two subsequent weeks. The forecasts from individual models are displayed alongside historical data, enabling the perspective of each model on the short-term evolution of influenza incidence in Italy and its regions to be captured. Finally, the forecasts from each model are combined to produce an ensemble prediction . From 1cb142b0c0d40c4ffd3ec373b0eabddc3f959929 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Nicol=C3=B2=20Gozzi?= Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 01:19:44 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 20/27] 202349 FluABCaster forecast (#59) * added 202348 forecast * removed latest * added 2023_49 data * added 2023_49 forecast --- previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2023_49.csv | 1657 ++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1657 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2023_49.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2023_49.csv b/previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..608a8343 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/ISI-FluABCaster/2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,1657 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.010,1,9.081885402879411 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.010,2,7.311858540363762 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.010,3,6.256459356016286 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.010,4,5.12297231430049 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.025,1,9.42527921909425 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files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-SEIR_QMUL/2023_46.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Delete previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023-47.csv * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Add files via upload --- previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023_49.csv | 93 +++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 93 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023_49.csv diff --git a/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023_49.csv b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..d3915e78 --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/EpiQMUL-ARIMA_QMUL/2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +anno,settimana,luogo,tipo_valore,id_valore,orizzonte,valore +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.01,1,10.640907066062177 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.01,2,10.059830193935664 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.01,3,9.32806579383181 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.01,4,8.467721883486941 +2023,49,IT,quantile,0.99,1,11.759092933406475 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"metaFlu", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu/2023_49.csv" + ] + } ] } \ No newline at end of file From 619de3893a60c87e2a187b75352064118729caa0 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Federic0Bald0 <39213854+Federic0Bald0@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 19 Dec 2023 14:57:36 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 26/27] Pull request forecast 49 week 2023 (#62) * Add files via upload Upload predictions 47th week 2023 * Add files via upload Fix format csv submission 47th week * Add files via upload Added forecast flu 48th week 2023 * Flu forecast week 49 2023 --- previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_49.csv | 2025 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 2025 insertions(+) create mode 100644 previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_49.csv diff --git a/previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_49.csv b/previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_49.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..1aaad15f --- /dev/null +++ b/previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_49.csv @@ -0,0 +1,2025 @@ 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5644d8c6521e5694fdff96e8ee2ba74f2c5e6cf0 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: github-actions <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 19 Dec 2023 13:58:00 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 27/27] Update data storage --- .github/data-storage/changes_db.json | 8 ++++++++ 1 file changed, 8 insertions(+) diff --git a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json index ca1270fb..b380dd55 100644 --- a/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json +++ b/.github/data-storage/changes_db.json @@ -28,5 +28,13 @@ "previsioni/CSL_PoliTo-metaFlu/2023_49.csv" ] } + ], + "ev_and_modelers": [ + { + "model": "DeepRE", + "changes": [ + "previsioni/ev_and_modelers-DeepRE/2023_49.csv" + ] + } ] } \ No newline at end of file