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Jessica Guo committed Aug 23, 2022
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21 changes: 21 additions & 0 deletions LICENSE.md
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MIT License

Copyright (c) 2022 GenoPhenoEnvo

Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:

The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
copies or substantial portions of the Software.

THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE
SOFTWARE.
6 changes: 3 additions & 3 deletions ML/README.md
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Expand Up @@ -52,14 +52,14 @@ The following models predict gcc_90 of next 35 days. For gcc_sd, last years' gcc
<b>Notes</b>:
- Since gcc_90 is not getting updated daily, the models using immediate past gcc_90 values (PEG_RFR0 and PEG_RFR) use forward fill strategy to fill in immediate past gcc_90 values while submitting the forecast for next 35 days

- Forecasted weather parameters used for submission of forecast for next 35 days are the median of 30 forecasted ensenle weather parameter files extrated from NOAA.
- Forecasted weather parameters used for submission of forecast for next 35 days are the median of 30 forecasted ensemble weather parameter files extrated from NOAA.

### Fall 2021

* <b>PEG_FUSION_0 (Prediction based on last year gcc_90 values and current weather data using ensemble approach):</b>
- <b>Input:</b> gcc_90/rcc_90 data of 20 days from last year i.e., (t-10)th to (t+9)th day of last year and weather variables of tth day (Max. temp, Min. temp, Radiation, Precipitation). Weather data extracted from Daymet is used to train the model. To forecast gcc_90 for future days, NOAA forecasted weather parameters are being used.

- <b>Output:</b> gcc_90/rcc_90 of next 35 days
- <b>Output:</b> gcc_90/rcc_90 and gcc_sd/rcc_sd of next 35 days

- <b>Model Description:</b> Ensemble machine learning approach is taken to predict gcc90/rcc_90, as part of which four models (Random Forest Regressor (RFR), ElasticNet Regressor, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XgBoost), K-Nearest Neighbor Regressor (KNN)) are trained individually for each of the sites to predict rcc_90 and three models (Random Forest Regressor (RFR), ElasticNet Regressor, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XgBoost)) are trained individually for each of the sites to predict gcc_90. Finally, rcc_90 and rcc_sd is predicted by taking the average and standard deviation of the predicted outputs by the four models and gcc_90 and gcc_sd are predicted by taking the average and standard deviation of the predicted outputs by the three models.

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -98,4 +98,4 @@ Can log into server using `ssh -i [ssh key path] [username]@128.196.65.173`. It
00 22 * * * cd /home/kristinariemer/neon-datasets/models/RFR && bash forecast_gcc.sh && echo `date` >> /home/kristinariemer/cron.txt
```

Confirmation of submissions are in `cron.txt`.
Confirmation of submissions are in `cron.txt`.

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