From 51068431bc6f21a506f2b6fa0932c261c3558287 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Lydia Champezou <51203703+LydiaChamp@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 18 Dec 2023 11:17:00 +0100 Subject: [PATCH] ARI2MA (#4) * Add files via upload * Add files via upload * Create f * Add files via upload * Delete model-output/2023-12-20-ECDC-ARI2MA.csv * Delete model-output/ECDC-ARI2MA/f --- model-metadata/ECDC-ARI2MA.yml | 10 + .../ECDC-ARI2MA/2023-12-20-ECDC-ARI2MA.csv | 1633 +++++++++++++++++ 2 files changed, 1643 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-metadata/ECDC-ARI2MA.yml create mode 100644 model-output/ECDC-ARI2MA/2023-12-20-ECDC-ARI2MA.csv diff --git a/model-metadata/ECDC-ARI2MA.yml b/model-metadata/ECDC-ARI2MA.yml new file mode 100644 index 0000000..74f4810 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-metadata/ECDC-ARI2MA.yml @@ -0,0 +1,10 @@ +team_name: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control +model_name: ARIMA model with seasonality +team_abbr: ECDC +model_abbr: ARI2MA +model_contributors: + - name: Lydia Champezou + affiliation: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control + email: lydia.champezou@ecdc.europa.eu +team_model_designation: primary +methods: An ARIMA model with seasonality and with sqrt transformed data diff --git a/model-output/ECDC-ARI2MA/2023-12-20-ECDC-ARI2MA.csv b/model-output/ECDC-ARI2MA/2023-12-20-ECDC-ARI2MA.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..b692cba --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ECDC-ARI2MA/2023-12-20-ECDC-ARI2MA.csv @@ -0,0 +1,1633 @@ +"origin_date","target","target_end_date","horizon","location","output_type","output_type_id","value" +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"BE","median","",1347.56779228424 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"BE","quantile","0.01",859.189167384761 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"BE","quantile","0.025",935.225985798682 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"BE","quantile","0.05",997.016475349633 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"BE","quantile","0.1",1067.84154115832 +2023-12-20,"ARI 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incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.75",1473.11949024416 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.8",1528.5403333366 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.85",1594.39156627215 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.9",1675.4771490296 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.95",1799.42150411171 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.975",1916.30823480659 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2024-01-07,4,"CZ","quantile","0.99",2045.49371141285 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","median","",2128.20139593173 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.01",1485.86410681472 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.025",1586.1276564216 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.05",1664.06692771334 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.1",1762.32443125603 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.15",1836.05733032823 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.2",1893.48098944923 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.25",1940.22210058878 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.3",1981.44376562455 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.35",2021.16156650125 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.4",2061.17731774815 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.45",2097.36808329135 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.5",2134.93357946483 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.55",2173.23640665612 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.6",2211.56961116776 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.65",2253.9403828728 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.7",2297.809977077 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.75",2344.36910182385 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.8",2398.03907786084 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.85",2457.21624479908 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.9",2532.07764283995 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.95",2648.81094510399 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.975",2765.33910408729 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-17,1,"DE","quantile","0.99",2889.41068170493 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-24,2,"DE","median","",2155.37086419413 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-24,2,"DE","quantile","0.01",1272.51453088977 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-24,2,"DE","quantile","0.025",1404.51733903164 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-24,2,"DE","quantile","0.05",1514.80428790709 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-24,2,"DE","quantile","0.1",1648.70562244162 +2023-12-20,"ARI 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incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.15",1581.99926208696 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.2",1676.83826019187 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.25",1768.73234831439 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.3",1841.81345370215 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.35",1918.23281903953 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.4",1988.56950318552 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.45",2055.65749436829 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.5",2124.04767747478 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.55",2194.42834735102 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.6",2268.43974360042 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.65",2347.94550129128 +2023-12-20,"ARI incidence",2023-12-31,3,"DE","quantile","0.7",2426.94390750417 +2023-12-20,"ARI 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