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Features : more information like quantile etc... #78

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tgiordan opened this issue Apr 14, 2020 · 3 comments
Open

Features : more information like quantile etc... #78

tgiordan opened this issue Apr 14, 2020 · 3 comments
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question Further information is requested

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@tgiordan
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tgiordan commented Apr 14, 2020

Hello,
Thank you for the tools. It would be really interesting too have more information like quantile/ probability of rising/decreasing.

Thank you.

@tgiordan tgiordan changed the title Features : more information like quantile, prediction of price Features : more information like quantile etc... Apr 14, 2020
@elxris
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elxris commented Apr 20, 2020

I am happy to implement this if you can prove to me this would be necessary and easy to understand.

I mean, I am not an expert with probability charts, but I do not want to show information that is hard to understand. Please understand this tool is aimed for everyone.

@tgiordan
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I'm new to turnip price. I read some information and I could complete my idea.
If I understand well :

  • there are some pattern: small pike, decreasing... And each of theme as a probability (cf https://turnipprophet.io/)
  • based on previous pattern you can have some price (Exemple : between 96 and 142). I don't know if every number in this range have the same probability or not.

So for example. I want to know what are the chance of selling my turnip 142.
Probability should be something like :
Probability_of_small_pike * probability_of_gettint_142_in_small_pike + probability_of_decreasing*probability_of_getting_142_in_decreasing +....

What the point of such a feature?
Currently you know that you can get a better price the next day, but are there good chance to get a better price? If there is only 5% of chance to get a better price I should probably buy right know.

I'm not and expert of web design but maybe a small message saying " you got x% of chance of getting better tomorrow", or an input where the user can give what price he want at least, and there is a calculation of his chance of having it.

Is there somewhere an explanation of the algorithm? Maybe I can give the formula in order to get the probability.

@elxris
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elxris commented May 18, 2020

Please review this comment: #115 (comment) and let me know what you think.

@elxris elxris added the question Further information is requested label May 26, 2020
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