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camp2023-57139-eng-Free_Software_opus.srt
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[MUSIC]
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[MUSIC]
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All right, welcome everybody.
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Day three, first talk on the Bits and Bombers stage.
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How's everybody doing?
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[APPLAUSE]
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Yes, still a bit tired, but we have nice weather today, not too much sun,
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so you can fully enjoy the talk by Joseph Devo Geis.
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He will talk briefly for about 25 minutes on the impact of software
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on energy and resource consumption and give us an overview of the environmental harm
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and the potentials for savings there and how free software in special
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is well positioned to address the issue.
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And in the end, we will have a Q&A session.
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And, yeah, if you have any questions, you can raise your hands,
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and we will get a mic to you.
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So give Joseph a warm round of applause again and enjoy the talk.
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[APPLAUSE]
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Yeah, thank you. Thank you very much.
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Thank you to the organizers at Bits and Bomber.
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This has been great so far.
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So the title of my talk today is Free Software, Software Design for the Environment.
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And this is part of a larger KDE eco-initiative
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working on sustainability issues in KDE and free software.
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Before I get started, though, I like to make my talks a little bit interactive.
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Feel free, if when I'm talking you have a question that's burning
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and you want to ask it right away, you can just raise your hand,
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and either the mic will come to you or I can repeat it for the audience.
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Before we get started, though, I wanted to ask you,
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what are some words and phrases that you associate with free software?
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And I'll repeat here for the people who are online.
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Great.
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Great, yeah, good.
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Empowerment.
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Empowerment.
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Powerful.
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Say it again.
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Powerful.
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Powerful.
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Customizable.
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Customizable.
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Collaboration.
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Collaboration.
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Collaboration.
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Great.
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Sustainable.
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Sustainable.
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So most people don't say sustainable,
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and I hope by the end of this talk all of you,
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next time someone asks you that question, will say sustainable.
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I have many links in the slides.
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If you want to download them, they're available at our repository.
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I will also return to the slide if you remind me at the end of the talk.
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Just wait a second.
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Great.
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So to get started, just to frame the issue that we're talking about.
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So this is a post on Macedon from Ed Hawkins.
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He's a climate scientist at the University of Reading,
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in which he has a graph.
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I don't expect you can really see the graph,
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but I hope you can see that all but one have an upward slope to it.
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Okay?
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You can probably guess what these are measurements of.
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This is the global temperature, CO2 emissions, sea levels.
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There's only one that's going down.
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That's the ice thickness.
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And he writes in the post,
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"Changes are emerging across the climate system.
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Everywhere we look, the climate is changing rapidly.
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These changes are not normal.
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They're caused by the burning of fossil fuels."
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Fossil fuels are also being burned in the ICT sector.
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So information and communications technology is right now an area
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that's being researched to figure out how much energy is consumed
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and how much the ICT sector contributes to CO2 emissions.
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This is a graph, again, all having upward slopes,
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which is a meta study looking at various research papers
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trying to estimate what the CO2 emissions are of the ICT sector.
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One thing I want to point out here is that the estimates vary.
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You can see some grow exponentially, some grow linearly.
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However, they're all growing.
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And if you take it, sort of try to average over what all of the studies seem to show,
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it appears that ICT sector contributes between 2 and 4 percent of CO2 emissions globally.
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To put that into perspective,
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that's roughly the equivalent of the global aviation industry,
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which is estimated around 2.5 percent.
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This analysis for the ICT sector includes everything
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from production, transportation, end-of-life treatment of devices,
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to energy consumption of the Internet,
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to energy consumption driven by the software you're running at home or in your office.
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Also includes Bitcoin, machine learning, training, etc.
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Right now, the current trajectory, if you look here as well as here,
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if things don't change, it's going to continue growing.
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And some estimates put that up to about 30 percent of global CO2 emissions by 2050.
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So it's growing. It's increasing rapidly.
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One thing I want to point out here, and I like this quote from this,
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it's a tech brief from the Association of Computing Machinery,
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computing can help mitigate climate change.
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How? By substituting other activities that we're doing.
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But it must first cease contributing to it,
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because it's growing in some cases faster than it's substituting.
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I'm going to focus today in this talk on the different ways
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that software is driving energy consumption specifically.
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Of course, energy consumption does contribute to CO2,
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depending on what the power grid mix is.
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I'm not going to talk too much about estimates of CO2.
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I'm going to talk specifically about power consumption,
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as well as production costs.
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I'm going to do that in two different ways.
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I'm going to talk about efficiency, energy efficiency,
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in terms of achieving the same result when doing the same task,
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but consuming less energy, as well as conservation,
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that is reducing the waste that's driven by software.
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And let's look at some examples of this.
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First, in terms of efficiency.
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This is a comparison of two word processors.
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It's from the Umweltbundesamt.
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It's some research done by the Umweltkampus Birkenfeld,
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in which they compared various software products doing the same thing,
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and then looking at their energy consumption differences.
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Word processor one, the green bar plot,
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is a free and open source software product.
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They don't mention which one.
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The blue one is a proprietary one.
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Again, they don't mention which one.
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And as you can see here, to do the exact same thing,
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to achieve the same result,
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word processor two consumes about four times the energy.
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Okay, for an individual, this may not make much of a difference.
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But you can't think of software's energy consumption on an individual basis.
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Word processors are in every office, in every university,
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on everyone's computer.
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People are using it globally all the time.
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If you think about these numbers when you scale it up,
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they add up very quickly.
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And to give an example of that,
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this is from a talk from Hasso Plattner Institute, Detlef Thoms,
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in which he does a back-of-the-envelope calculation,
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in which you reduce a process by one CPU second.
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Okay, it's a very minimal change.
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That's about the equivalent of a savings of 10 watt seconds.
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And if you multiply that by 1.5 million users,
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now that's not very many users,
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and you assume that there are 20 such reductions a day,
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so this reduction in the CPU usage happens 20 times a day,
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and you multiply that by 230 working days a year,
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you end up with 19 megawatt hours of savings.
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Now, if you're like me, that doesn't mean much to you.
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To put that into perspective,
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if you take a modern electric vehicle
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and drive it back and forth from Shanghai six times,
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that's about the equivalent of 19 megawatt hours.
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Okay, so these are very simple changes
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that result in big savings once you scale it up.
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And the thing about software is that you're not only changing on one computer,
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but you're changing every computer that gets that update, right?
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And when you think about it on a global level,
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these savings really add up very quickly.
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If I can convince just 500 developers--
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and I've been giving similar talks now for about a year and a half,
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so this is a very realistic goal--
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500 developers to try to achieve just 10 of those efficiency gains,
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multiply that by 19 megawatt hour savings,
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and you're talking about the energy consumption
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of 30,000 two-person households in one year.
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So scaling it up, you get to really big efficiency gains.
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Okay, now conservation.
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Reducing the waste.
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And when we're talking about waste,
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let's start where the waste lands in the landfill.
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And this is a graph--infographic representing the e-waste from 2016.
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Already one year before that,
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Akim Steiner from the UN commented that there's a tsunami of e-waste
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rolling out over the world.
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In 2015, there was 44.7 million tons of e-waste produced.
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That's about the equivalent of 4,500 Eiffel Towers.
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If you were to stack those Eiffel Towers,
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it would be about 17 times Mount Everest high.
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Okay, this is in one year, and it's growing.
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In 2019, the World Economic Forum said
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that e-waste is the fastest growing waste stream in the world.
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In 2022, 60 million tons of e-waste, a 33% increase.
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Of that e-waste, about 20% is estimated to be recycled.
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And in what ends up in the landfill,
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although e-waste accounts for about 2% of the total waste,
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it's 70% of the toxic waste.
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What does software have to do with e-waste, right?
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So, e-waste is hardware.
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Software can drive e-waste.
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Some of you may have had this warning message
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that your device is no longer supported.
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If your software is tied to that device,
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then that device becomes unusable,
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at least not without serious disadvantages to you as a user.
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The software might become more and more bloated
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as more features are added,
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and the energy that's consumed
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or the processing power that's needed by the hardware
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is so much that older hardware can no longer support that software.
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As a result, what you have is devices that are now produced
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and transported unnecessarily,
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and functioning devices end up as e-waste in the landfill.
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This is particularly problematic,
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thinking about it in terms of CO2.
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This is a graph from a book from Lange and Santorius
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called "Smarta Kuhn-U-Neveld".
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This is data from Apple's own sustainability reports
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from an iPhone in which they estimate
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how much CO2 is produced per device
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and then what it's attributable to.
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They find, Apple reports, that the production,
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end-of-life treatment and transportation
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accounts for about 80% of the CO2 emissions of a device.
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So, sending a device into the landfill before its time
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is a huge waste of resources.
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So, to me, they're both the same thing, right?
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I mean, if the hardware doesn't allow the software,
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it's because the software can't function on that hardware.
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So, what could the hardware vendors
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where to open or provide support?
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Right, okay, so the question is,
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so things like bootloaders being proprietary
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and then not allowing devices to then run other software, right?
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That's a design decision.
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That's maybe not directly a software in the sense of...
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It is a software decision because that's proprietary.
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You can't then access the device.
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So, I would say, I mean, software and hardware,
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those are the...what you're describing,
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so the question was about when the hardware is so locked down
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that you can't install other software on it.
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And that's a situation where you have a device
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that's tied to one particular software product, right?
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But that's a design decision and it's still related to software.
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And I would say we should all be fighting
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for the right to repair, to include software,
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including things like opening up bootloaders
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so that you can install other software products on it.
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So, yeah, production and end-of-life treatment
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and transportation are going to contribute
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to much of the CO2 emissions of a device.
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But it's not only CO2 emissions.
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The end-of-life treatment also contributes
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to polluting air, soil, et cetera,
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often in countries in the global south,
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both where the devices are...the metals are mined,
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often under horrible conditions,
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and then they return there to then end up
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in treatment centers or in landfills.
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This here is in Ghana.
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So, I mentioned at the beginning that there are cases